Cincinnati Financial Reports Second-Quarter 2011 Results

CINCINNATI, July 27, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

  • $49 million, or 30 cents per share, of net loss for the second quarter of 2011 compared with $27 million, or 17 cents net income per share, in the 2010 second quarter.
  • Operating loss* of $93 million, or 57 cents per share, compared with operating income of $42 million, or 26 cents.
  • $76 million decrease in second-quarter 2011 net income driven by a $137 million after-tax decrease in the contribution from property casualty underwriting operations. The after-tax effect of second-quarter 2011 property casualty losses from natural catastrophes totaled $189 million, up $124 million compared with the same period of 2010. The contribution to income from investments, including net realized investment gains, rose $60 million for the quarter.
  • $31.01 book value per share at June 30, 2011, down approximately 1 percent from March 31, 2011, and up less than 1 percent from December 31, 2010.
  • 2.9 percent value creation ratio for the first six months of 2011, compared with 2.3 percent for the first half of 2010.

Financial Highlights

(Dollars in millions except share data)

Three months ended June 30,


Six months ended June 30,



2011

2010

Change %

2011

2010

Change %

Revenue Highlights











  Earned premiums

$

773

$

768

1

$

1,555

$

1,515

3

  Investment income, pre-tax


132


130

2


263


260

1

  Total revenues


975


878

11


1,904


1,765

8

Income Statement Data











  Net income (loss)

$

(49)

$

27

nm

$

13

$

95

(86)

  Net realized investment gains and losses


44


(15)

nm


51


(10)

nm

  Operating income (loss)*

$

(93)

$

42

nm

$

(38)

$

105

nm

Per Share Data (diluted)











  Net income (loss)

$

(0.30)

$

0.17

nm

$

0.08

$

0.58

(86)

  Net realized investment gains and losses


0.27


(0.09)

nm


0.31


(0.06)

nm

  Operating income (loss)*

$

(0.57)

$

0.26

nm

$

(0.23)

$

0.64

nm












  Book value






$

31.01

$

29.13

6

  Cash dividend declared

$

0.40

$

0.395

1

$

0.80

$

0.79

1

  Weighted average shares outstanding


163,068,516


163,284,013

0


163,684,903


163,293,335

0



Insurance Operations Second-Quarter Highlights

  • 136.6 percent second-quarter 2011 property casualty combined ratio, rising from 107.6 percent from one year ago.
  • 3 percent growth in property casualty net written premiums, up in all three of our property casualty segments.
  • $117 million second-quarter 2011 property casualty new business written premiums, up 10 percent from 2010. Agencies produced our highest quarter ever for new business, up in all three of our property casualty segments.
  • 8 cents per share contribution from life insurance to second-quarter operating income, up 2 cents from 2010.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

  • 2 percent second-quarter 2011 growth in pre-tax investment income as higher dividends offset lower interest income that continued to reflect depressed yields in the bond market.  
  • 2 percent six-month rise in fair value of invested assets at June 30, 2011, including second-quarter 2010 bond portfolio growth of 2 percent.
  • $1.086 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at June 30, 2011, up 4 percent from year-end.

*  The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 11 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.

**  Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company's safe harbor statement (see Page 9).

Fundamentally Prepared

Steven J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA, president and chief executive officer, commented: "The Cincinnati Insurance Companies were prepared – operationally and financially – for the pounding our own policyholders and the property casualty insurance industry took from this spring's powerful storms. While the previously announced, record-breaking catastrophe losses depleted our operating earnings for the second quarter and first half of 2011, our capital and book value per share rose above 2010 year-end levels. Confident in our very strong balance sheet and risk management decisions, we were able to focus on what was important: outstanding claims service and our ongoing initiatives to grow our business and improve its profitability.

"We quickly identified the worst-hit communities, dispatching more than 250 of our own experienced claims representatives to those locations during the second quarter. Technology was in place to give them field access to estimating tools, other resources and records; and they had the authority to provide prompt assistance. Our storm response teams were well equipped to put policyholders on the road to recovery, overcoming the operational difficulties presented by the sheer devastation of community infrastructure and the sheer volume of reported catastrophe claims – more than 21,000 to-date from second-quarter events.

"And we were prepared financially. For more than 60 years, our capital and risk management choices have consistently and conservatively balanced the need to build a strong foundation for long-term success with the need for current earnings. We met these catastrophes equipped with a strong reinsurance program featuring relatively lower loss retention; ample cash flow and liquidity; solid loss reserves and property casualty surplus; and the financial flexibility that comes from maintaining over $1 billion of cash and marketable securities at our parent company.

"Our reinsurance program covered more than $220 million of our estimate for gross catastrophe losses, reducing the net pretax loss to $290 million. During the second quarter we replenished reinsurance coverage for the remainder of 2011 for any single catastrophe event that causes losses above $70 million and up to $200 million, and coverage remains in place for losses up to $500 million. In effect, reinsurance protects our $12 billion investment portfolio, allowing us to pay claims while holding securities to maturity as planned. Unrealized gains accumulated in our portfolio rose to $1.5 billion pretax, up $75 million during the second quarter after harvesting $67 million of net investment gains. Pretax investment income grew 2 percent for the quarter. That growth has been a bright spot for us even in the current low-interest rate environment, due in large part to dividend-paying stocks in our portfolio. Another consistent contributor is our life insurance operation, which increased its operating profit by 20 percent for the second quarter."

Improving Trends

"Our second-quarter and first-half property casualty underwriting results are more complex than usual due to the catastrophes, reinsurance coverage and $38 million of premiums we passed to reinsurers to reinstate part of our reinsurance program. Looking beyond the complexity of those three items, we offer two observations. First, our catastrophe claims response plan and reinsurance program made us very effective at fulfilling our obligation to policyholders at their time of need, and we'll continue to take a similar approach. Second, the negative effects of those three items mask improving trends for underlying premium growth and profitability. Despite those effects, second-quarter written premium growth was satisfactory at 3 percent, including record new business written premiums from our agents. Our reported six-month combined ratio rose 14.9 percentage points, including 14.5 points from higher catastrophe losses and 2.4 points from the effect of the $38 million reinsurance reinstatement premium.

"We believe our company's strategic initiatives, rather than marketplace changes, are positioning us for improved growth and profitability. Growth in our established agencies and states is boosted by growth in more recently appointed agencies and states entered in recent years to widen our geographic footprint. Growth also reflects sales of excess and surplus lines products, all new offerings since 2007; and our new target markets products, which are niche insurance programs developed for select business classes found in nearly every agent's community.

"Improved pricing is an important way to increase underwriting profitability. Again, we are not looking to the marketplace to bring better prices to us. Our agents are working with us to market the value of the Cincinnati policy and service. While we still see average renewal price declines on commercial business overall, the declines are narrowing. We are obtaining price increases for workers' compensation in total and for many other individual commercial lines policies, in addition to average renewal price increases for personal lines in total and excess and surplus lines in total. Predictive analytics tools are in use to guide pricing for several of our product lines, helping us compete for higher quality accounts and selectively target increases for other accounts, and we are developing similar tools to enhance pricing precision for additional lines of business."

Consistency

"Our initiatives to grow profitably are bringing many changes. Still, we are careful to distinguish between tactical changes that lead to performance improvements and more fundamental, unchanging principles and practices. These fundamentals define our business model, giving us competitive advantages and increasing strength and stability over the long term. This month Ward Group announced that The Cincinnati Insurance Companies stand among the top performing insurers on its annual Ward's 50 list. Insurers and groups named to the list have excelled at balancing safety and consistency and have achieved superior performance over the past five years. Cincinnati is one of only four companies named to the property casualty Ward's 50 for 21 consecutive years.

"In May, Fitch Ratings affirmed our ratings with a stable outlook, considering our capital, liquidity and distribution advantages as well as our natural catastrophe risk in its decision. We have never had catastrophe losses like those of second-quarter 2011, and we hope to never again have that experience, but catastrophes are a part of our insurance business, and we will be prepared."

Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended June 30,

Six months ended June 30,


2011

2010

Change %

2011

2010

Change %
















Earned premiums

$

730


$

728


0

$

1,475


$

1,436


3

Fee revenues


1



1


0


2



2


0

  Total revenues


731



729


0


1,477



1,438


3
















Loss and loss expenses


759



553


37


1,289



1,028


25

Underwriting expenses


237



230


3


482



482


0

  Underwriting loss

$

(265)


$

(54)


(391)

$

(294)


$

(72)


(308)
















Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:







Pt. Change







Pt. Change

    Loss and loss expenses


104.1

%


76.0

%

28.1


87.4

%


71.6

%

15.8

    Underwriting expenses


32.5



31.6


0.9


32.7



33.6


(0.9)

Combined ratio


136.6

%


107.6

%

29.0


120.1

%


105.2

%

14.9






































Change %







Change %

Agency renewal written premiums

$

717


$

685


5

$

1,425


$

1,367


4

Agency new business written premiums


117



106


10


219



198


11

Other written premiums


(66)



(42)


(57)


(97)



(60)


(62)

  Net written premiums

$

768


$

749


3

$

1,547


$

1,505


3
















Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:







Pt. Change







Pt. Change

    Current accident year before catastrophe losses


77.3

%


71.7

%

5.6


75.2

%


70.6

%

4.6

    Current accident year catastrophe losses


39.7



14.3


25.4


22.5



8.8


13.7

    Prior accident years before catastrophe losses


(13.0)



(9.3)


(3.7)


(10.3)



(7.0)


(3.3)

    Prior accident years catastrophe losses


0.1



(0.7)


0.8


0.0



(0.8)


0.8

Total loss and loss expenses


104.1

%


76.0

%

28.1


87.4

%


71.6

%

15.8
















Current accident year combined ratio before















     catastrophe losses


109.8

%


103.3

%

6.5


107.9

%


104.2

%

3.7




  • $19 million or 3 percent increase in second-quarter 2011 property casualty net written premiums and six-month growth of 3 percent. Solid growth for renewal and new business premiums was partially offset by $38 million of ceded premiums to reinstate property catastrophe reinsurance coverage.
  • $11 million increase to $117 million second-quarter new business written by agencies, largely from recent-year growth initiatives, including $10 million of the increase from agencies appointed since the beginning of 2010.
  • 1,281 agency relationships in 1,593 reporting locations marketing our standard market property casualty insurance products at June 30, 2011, compared with 1,245 agency relationships in 1,544 reporting locations at year-end 2010. Seventy-one new agencies were appointed during the first six months of 2011.
  • 29.0 and 14.9 percentage-point rise in the second-quarter and first-half combined ratios primarily due to 26.2 and 14.5 point increases in natural catastrophe losses plus lower earned premiums from $38 million reinstatement premiums that added another 4.8 and 2.4 percentage points to the second-quarter and first-half 2011 combined ratios.
  • 12.9 percentage points second-quarter 2011 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $95 million, compared with 10.0 percent or $73 million for second-quarter 2010. Six-month ratio of 10.3 percent equaled the full-year 2010 ratio.
  • 0.9 percentage-point rise in the second-quarter 2011 underwriting expense ratio, including 1.6 points from the effect of reinsurance reinstatement ceded premiums causing earned premiums to grow more slowly than expenses.  

The following table shows incurred catastrophe losses for 2011 and 2010.

(In millions, net of reinsurance)


Three months ended June 30,

Six months ended June 30,




Comm.

Pers.

E&S



Comm.

Pers.

E&S



Dates

Cause of loss

Region

lines

lines

lines


Total

lines

lines

lines


Total

2011



















  First quarter catastrophes


$

-

$

(1)

$

-

$

(1)

$

18

$

12

$

-

$

30

  Apr. 3-5

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South, Midwest


16


22


-


38


16


22


-


38

  Apr. 8-11

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South, Midwest


11


9


-


20


11


9


-


20

  Apr. 14-16

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South, Midwest


10


4


-


14


10


4


-


14

  Apr. 19-20

Hail, wind

South, Midwest


13


13


-


26


13


13


-


26

  Apr. 22-28

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South, Midwest


47


31


-


78


47


31


-


78

  May 20-27

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South, Midwest


45


37


-


82


45


37


-


82

  May 29-Jun. 1

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

East, Midwest


4


2


-


6


4


2


-


6

  Jun. 16-22

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South, Midwest


7


10


-


17


7


10


-


17

  All other 2011 catastrophes



4


5


1


10


9


11


1


21

  Development on 2010 and prior catastrophes



-


-


-


-


4


(5)


-


(1)

    Calendar year incurred total


$

157

$

132

$

1

$

290

$

184

$

146

$

1

$

331




















2010



















  First quarter catastrophes


$

(2)

$

-

$

-

$

(2)

$

8

$

4

$

-

$

12

  Apr. 4-6

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South, Midwest


5


6


-


11


5


6


-


11

  Apr. 30-May 3

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South


28


6


-


34


28


6


-


34

  May 7-8

Hail, tornado, wind

East, Midwest


2


10


-


12


2


10


-


12

  May 12-16

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

South, Midwest


3


2


-


5


3


2


-


5

  Jun. 4-6

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

Midwest


3


3


-


6


3


3


-


6

  Jun. 17-20

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

Midwest, West


5


4


-


9


5


4


-


9

  Jun. 21-24

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

Midwest


4


5


-


9


4


5


-


9

  Jun. 25-28

Flood, hail, tornado, wind

Midwest


1


4


-


5


1


4


-


5

  All other 2010 catastrophes



11


4


-


15


17


6


-


23

  Development on 2009 and prior catastrophes



(4)


(1)


-


(5)


(10)


(2)


-


(12)

    Calendar year incurred total


$

56

$

43

$

-

$

99

$

66

$

48

$

-

$

114




Insurance Operations Highlights

Commercial Lines Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended June 30,

Six months ended June 30,


2011

2010

Change %

2011


2010

Change %
















Earned premiums

$

533


$

538


(1)

$

1,073


$

1,061


1

Fee revenues


-



-


   nm


1



1


0

  Total revenues


533



538


(1)


1,074



1,062


1
















Loss and loss expenses


483



379


27


857



731


17

Underwriting expenses


178



169


5


366



350


5

  Underwriting loss

$

(128)


$

(10)


nm

$

(149)


$

(19)


nm
















Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:







Pt. Change







Pt. Change

    Loss and loss expenses


90.8

%


70.4

%

20.4


79.9

%


68.9

%

11.0

    Underwriting expenses


33.4



31.3


2.1


34.1



33.0


1.1

Combined ratio


124.2

%


101.7

%

22.5


114.0

%


101.9

%

12.1






































Change %







Change %

Agency renewal written premiums

$

500


$

492


2

$

1,042


$

1,025


2

Agency new business written premiums


81



73


11


152



139


9

Other written premiums


(44)



(33)


(33)


(69)



(44)


(57)

  Net written premiums

$

537


$

532


1

$

1,125


$

1,120


0
















Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:







Pt. Change







Pt. Change

    Current accident year before catastrophe losses


75.9

%


71.7

%

4.2


75.2

%


71.4

%

3.8

    Current accident year catastrophe losses


29.5



11.2


18.3


16.8



7.2


9.6

    Prior accident years before catastrophe losses


(14.8)



(11.7)


(3.1)


(12.5)



(8.7)


(3.8)

    Prior accident years catastrophe losses


0.2



(0.8)


1.0


0.4



(1.0)


1.4

Total loss and loss expenses


90.8

%


70.4

%

20.4


79.9

%


68.9

%

11.0
















Current accident year combined ratio before















     catastrophe losses


109.3

%


103.0

%

6.3


109.3

%


104.4

%

4.9


















  • $5 million or 1 percent increase in second-quarter 2011 commercial lines net written premiums as growth in renewal and new business written premiums more than offset $23 million of ceded premiums from reinstatement of property catastrophe reinsurance. Second-quarter and six-month renewal and new business premium growth trended similarly.
  • $8 million and $17 million increases in second quarter and six-month renewal written premiums largely reflected the effects of improving economic conditions on insured exposure levels, partially offset by approximately 1 percent on average pricing decline for the second-quarter 2011, improved slightly from a low-single-digit range for first quarter.  
  • $8 million increase to $81 million in new business written premiums, rising in both newer and established states.
  • 22.5 and 12.1 percentage-point rise in the second-quarter and first-half combined ratios primarily due to 19.3 and 11.0 point increases in natural catastrophe losses plus lower earned premiums from reinstatement premiums.
  • 75.2 percent ratio for six-month 2011 accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes increased 0.7 percentage points over full-year 2010, with the reinsurance reinstatement ceded premium effect contributing 1.5 points.

Personal Lines Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended June 30,

Six months ended June 30,


2011

2010

Change %

2011

2010

Change %
















Earned premiums

$

180


$

179


1

$

370


$

353


5

Fee revenues


1



1


0


1



1


0

  Total revenues


181



180


1


371



354


5
















Loss and loss expenses


269



163


65


410



275


49

Underwriting expenses


54



57


(5)


106



124


(15)

  Underwriting loss

$

(142)


$

(40)


(255)

$

(145)


$

(45)


(222)
















Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:







Pt. Change







Pt. Change

    Loss and loss expenses


149.4

%


91.1

%

58.3


110.7

%


77.9

%

32.8

    Underwriting expenses


29.8



32.3


(2.5)


28.5



35.2


(6.7)

Combined ratio


179.2

%


123.4

%

55.8


139.2

%


113.1

%

26.1






































Change %







Change %

Agency renewal written premiums

$

205


$

187


10

$

361


$

330


9

Agency new business written premiums


26



24


8


48



42


14

Other written premiums


(21)



(7)


(200)


(26)



(13)


(100)

  Net written premiums

$

210


$

204


3

$

383


$

359


7
















Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:







Pt. Change







Pt. Change

    Current accident year before catastrophe losses


81.2

%


70.3

%

10.9


74.4

%


67.0

%

7.4

    Current accident year catastrophe losses


73.5



24.5


49.0


40.8



14.1


26.7

    Prior accident years before catastrophe losses


(5.2)



(3.0)


(2.2)


(3.1)



(2.7)


(0.4)

    Prior accident years catastrophe losses


(0.1)



(0.7)


0.6


(1.4)



(0.5)


(0.9)

Total loss and loss expenses


149.4

%


91.1

%

58.3


110.7

%


77.9

%

32.8
















Current accident year combined ratio before















     catastrophe losses


111.0

%


102.6

%

8.4


102.9

%


102.2

%

0.7




  • $6 million or 3 percent growth in second-quarter 2011 personal lines net written premiums and six-month growth of 7 percent, as healthy increases in renewal and new business written premiums for both periods more than offset $15 million of ceded premiums to reinstate property catastrophe reinsurance.
  • 55.8 and 26.1 percentage-point rise in the second-quarter and first-half combined ratios primarily due to 49.6 and 25.8 point increases in weather-related catastrophe losses plus lower earned premiums from reinstatement premiums.
  • 74.4 percent ratio for six-month 2011 accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes was a 4.0 percentage-point increase over full-year 2010, including reinstatement premium effects contributing 3.0 points, higher new large losses contributing 0.5 points, plus higher weather-related losses not part of an industry-designated catastrophe event.
  • 6.7 percentage-point decline in the six-month underwriting expense ratio was primarily due to higher first-quarter 2010 expenses from provisions for commitments and contingent liabilities.

Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended June 30,

Six months ended June 30,


2011

2010

Change %

2011

2010

Change %
















Earned premiums

$

17


$

11


55

$

32


$

22


45
















Loss and loss expenses


7



11


(36)


22



22


0

Underwriting expenses


5



4


25


10



8


25

  Underwriting profit (loss)

$

5


$

(4)


nm

$

-


$

(8)


nm
















Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:







Pt. Change







Pt. Change

    Loss and loss expenses


41.5

%


108.4

%

(66.9)


70.3

%


100.0

%

(29.7)

    Underwriting expenses


33.2



29.1


4.1


31.8



32.4


(0.6)

Combined ratio


74.7

%


137.5

%

(62.8)


102.1

%


132.4

%

(30.3)






































Change %







Change %

Agency renewal written premiums

$

12


$

6


100

$

22


$

12


83

Agency new business written premiums


10



9


11


19



17


12

Other written premiums


(1)



(2)


50


(2)



(3)


33

  Net written premiums

$

21


$

13


62

$

39


$

26


50
















Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:







Pt. Change







Pt. Change

    Current accident year before catastrophe losses


79.0

%


93.3

%

(14.3)


88.3

%

90.7

%

(2.4)

    Current accident year catastrophe losses


4.9



5.6


(0.7)


3.4



2.8


0.6

    Prior accident years before catastrophe losses


(41.9)



9.5


(51.4)


(21.6)



6.6


(28.2)

    Prior accident years catastrophe losses


(0.5)



0.0


(0.5)


0.2



(0.1)


0.3

Total loss and loss expenses


41.5

%


108.4

%

(66.9)


70.3

%

100.0

%

(29.7)
















Current accident year combined ratio before















     catastrophe losses


112.2

%


122.4

%

(10.2)


120.1

%

123.1

%

(3.0)




  • $8 million or 62 percent growth in second-quarter 2011 excess and surplus lines net written premiums and six-month growth of 50 percent, largely driven by the opportunity to renew many accounts for the first time.
  • 11 percent and 12 percent increase in new business written premiums for the second quarter and first half of 2011, similar to the full-year 2010 rate of 9 percent.
  • 62.8 and 30.3 percentage-point combined ratio improvements for second quarter and first-half of 2011, primarily due to net favorable reserve development on prior accident years.

Life Insurance Operations

(In millions)


Three months ended June 30,

Six months ended June 30,



2011


2010

Change %


2011


2010

Change %












Term life insurance

$

27

$

24

13

$

52

$

47

11

Universal life insurance


9


10

(10)


14


19

(26)

Other life insurance, annuity, and disability income products


7


6

17


14


13

8

   Earned premiums


43


40

8


80


79

1

Investment income, net of expenses


34


33

3


67


65

3

Other income


-


1

nm


1


1

0

 Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses


77


74

4


148


145

2

Contract holders benefits


44


43

2


89


85

5

Underwriting expenses


14


16

(13)


30


32

(6)

   Total benefits and expenses


58


59

(2)


119


117

2

Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses


19


15

27


29


28

4

Income tax


7


5

40


10


10

0

Net income before realized investment gains and losses

$

12

$

10

20

$

19

$

18

6




  • $3 million or 8 percent increase in second-quarter 2011 earned premiums, driven by term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line. Three- and six-month growth rates for term life insurance were similar. Face amount of life policies in force rose to $76.029 billion at June 30, 2011, from $74.124 billion at year-end 2010.
  • $28 million and $89 million in second-quarter and first half 2011 for fixed annuity deposits received, slowing from $116 million and $201 million in first-half and full-year 2010. Cincinnati Life does not offer variable or indexed products.
  • $2 million higher three-month profit was primarily due to increased earned premiums from strong renewal activity.
  • $35 million or 5 percent first-half 2011 growth in shareholders' equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

Investment Operations

(In millions)


Three months ended June 30,


Six months ended June 30,



2011



2010


Change %


2011



2010


Change %

Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax

$

132


$

130


2

$

263


$

260


1

Investment interest credited to contract holders


(20)



(20)


0


(40)



(39)


(3)

Realized investment gains and losses summary:















  Realized investment gains and losses


67



16


319


105



19


453

  Change in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives


-



(5)


nm


4



1


300

  Other-than-temporary impairment charges


-



(34)


nm


(30)



(35)


14

     Total realized investment gains and losses


67



(23)


nm


79



(15)


nm

Investment operations profit

$

179


$

87


106

$

302


$

206


47































(In millions)


Three months ended June 30,


Six months ended June 30,



2011



2010


Change %


2011



2010


Change %

Investment income:















  Interest

$

106


$

107


(1)

$

212


$

214


(1)

  Dividends


27



24


13


53



48


10

  Other


1



1


0


2



2


0

  Investment expenses


(2)



(2)


0


(4)



(4)


0

     Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax


132



130


2


263



260


1

     Income taxes


(33)



(32)


(3)


(65)



(64)


(2)

     Total investment income, net of expenses, after-tax

$

99


$

98


1

$

198


$

196


1
















     Effective tax rate


24.6

%


24.5

%



24.5

%


24.5

%

















     Average yield pre-tax


4.6

%


4.8

%



4.6

%


4.8

%


     Average yield after-tax


3.4

%


3.6

%



3.5

%


3.6

%





  • 2 percent growth in second-quarter 2011 pretax investment income. 1 percent first-half growth of both pretax and after-tax investment income. Growth of dividend income more than offset lower interest income for both periods.
  • $75 million or 5 percent second-quarter 2011 increase in pre-tax unrealized investment portfolio gains, including negative $21 million for the equity portfolio that reflected $61 million of realized gains from common stock sales.

(Dollars in millions except share data)


At June 30,


At December 31,






2011



2010


Balance sheet data










  Invested assets




$

11,757


$

11,508


  Total assets





15,702



15,095


  Short-term debt





49



49


  Long-term debt





790



790


  Shareholders' equity





5,057



5,032


  Book value per share





31.01



30.91


  Debt-to-total-capital ratio





14.2

%


14.3

%












Three months ended June 30,


Six months ended June 30,



2011


2010


2011



2010


Performance measure










  Value creation ratio

0.1%


(1.1)%


2.9%



2.3%





  • $12.070 billion in consolidated cash and invested assets at June 30, 2011, up 1 percent from $11.893 billion at year-end.
  • $8.717 billion bond portfolio at June 30, 2011, with an average rating of A2/A and with a 4 percent rise in fair value during the first six months of 2011.
  • $2.971 billion equity portfolio was 25.3 percent of invested assets, including $856 million in pre-tax net unrealized gains at June 30, 2011.
  • $3.743 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at June 30, 2011, down $34 million from $3.777 billion at year-end 2010, after declaring $60 million in dividends to the parent company. Ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended June 30, 2011, of 0.8-to-1, unchanged from the 12 months ended December 31, 2010.
  • Value creation ratio of 0.1 percent for the second quarter of 2011 is the total of 1.3 percent from shareholder dividends minus 1.2 percent from the change in book value per share.

For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.


Mailing Address:

Street Address:

P.O. Box 145496              

6200 South Gilmore Road

Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496

Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141



Safe Harbor Statement

This is our "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2010 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 24.

Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

  • Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
  • Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
  • Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
  • Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
  • Delays in adoption and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods that could increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
  • Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
  • Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company's equity portfolio and book value
  • Events, such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
    • Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
    • Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
    • Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions
  • Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company's ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
  • Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company's premium volume
  • Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
  • Inability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
  • Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company's relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company's opportunities for growth, such as:
    • Downgrades of the company's financial strength ratings
    • Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
    • Perceptions that the company's level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
    • Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
  • Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
    • Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
    • Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
    • Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
    • Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in tax law
    • Increase our other expenses
    • Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
    • Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
    • Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
  • Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
  • Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company's future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
  • Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
  • Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
  • Difficulties with technology or data security breaches that could negatively affect our ability to conduct business and our relationships with agents, policyholders and others

Further, the company's insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.

* * *



Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets and Statements of Operations (unaudited)

(Dollars in millions)

June 30,

December 31,


2011

2010





Assets





  Investments

$

11,757

$

11,508

  Cash and cash equivalents


313


385

  Premiums receivable


1,106


1,015

  Reinsurance receivable


753


572

  Other assets


1,773


1,615

     Total assets

$

15,702

$

15,095







Liabilities






  Insurance reserves


$

6,683

$

6,234

  Unearned premiums



1,630


1,553

  Deferred income tax



324


260

  Long-term debt



790


790

  Other liabilities



1,218


1,226

     Total liabilities



10,645


10,063







Shareholders' Equity






  Common stock and paid-in capital



1,487


1,484

  Retained earnings



3,862


3,980

  Accumulated other comprehensive income



903


769

  Treasury stock



(1,195)


(1,201)

     Total shareholders' equity



5,057


5,032

     Total liabilities and shareholders' equity


$

15,702

$

15,095















(Dollars in millions except per share data)

Three months ended June 30,


Six months ended June 30,




2011


2010



2011


2010







Revenues











  Earned premiums


$

773

$

768


$

1,555

$

1,515

  Investment income, net of expenses



132


130



263


260

  Realized investment gains and losses



67


(23)



79


(15)

  Fee revenues



1


1



2


2

  Other revenues



2


2



5


3

     Total revenues



975


878



1,904


1,765












Benefits and Expenses











  Insurance losses and policyholder benefits



801


595



1,376


1,111

  Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses



251


246



512


514

  Other operating expenses



6


3



10


7

  Interest expense



14


13



27


27

     Total benefits and expenses



1,072


857



1,925


1,659












Income (loss) Before Income Taxes



(97)


21



(21)


106












Provision (benefit) for Income Taxes



(48)


(6)



(34)


11












Net Income (loss)


$

(49)

$

27


$

13

$

95












Per Common Share:











  Net income (loss)—basic


$

(0.30)

$

0.17


$

0.08

$

0.59

  Net income (loss)—diluted


$

(0.30)

$

0.17


$

0.08

$

0.58




Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

(See attached tables for 2011 reconciliations; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management's control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

  • Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company's insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management's discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

    For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
  • Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC's Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
  • Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Balance Sheet Reconciliation















(Dollars are per share)

Three months ended June 30,


Six months ended June 30,



2011



2010




2011



2010


Value creation ratio














  End of period book value

$

31.01


$

29.13



$

31.01


$

29.13


  Less beginning of period book value


31.40



29.86




30.91



29.25


  Change in book value


(0.39)



(0.73)




0.10



(0.12)


  Dividend declared to shareholders


0.40



0.395




0.80



0.79


  Total contribution to value creation ratio

$

0.01


$

(0.34)



$

0.90


$

0.67
















  Contribution to value creation ratio from change in book value*


(1.2)

%


(2.4)

%



0.3

%


(0.4)

%

  Contribution to value creation ratio from dividends declared to shareholders**


1.3



1.3




2.6



2.7


  Value creation ratio


0.1

%


(1.1)

%



2.9

%


2.3

%




















*    Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value

**   Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value



Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Net Income Reconciliation




(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended


June 30, 2011

June 30, 2011

Net income (loss)

$

(49)


$

13

Net realized investment gains and losses


44



51

Operating loss


(93)



(38)

Less catastrophe losses


(189)



(216)

Operating income before catastrophe losses  

$

96


$

178







Diluted per share data:






  Net income (loss)

$

(0.30)


$

0.08

  Net realized investment gains and losses


0.27



0.31

  Operating loss


(0.57)



(0.23)

  Less catastrophe losses


(1.16)



(1.32)

  Operating income before catastrophe losses  

$

0.59


$

1.09




Property Casualty Reconciliation















Three months ended June 30, 2011


Consolidated

Commercial

Personal

E&S

Premiums:













  Written premiums

$

768


$

537


$

210


$

21


  Unearned premiums change


(38)



(4)



(30)



(4)


  Earned premiums

$

730


$

533


$

180


$

17















Statutory ratio:













  Statutory combined ratio


135.4

%


123.0

%


178.4

%


73.1

%

  Contribution from catastrophe losses


39.8



29.7



73.4



4.4


  Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses


95.6

%


93.3

%


105.0

%


68.7

%














  Commission expense ratio


18.2

%


17.7

%


18.7

%


24.5

%

  Other expense ratio


13.1



14.5



10.3



7.1


  Statutory expense ratio


31.3

%


32.2

%


29.0

%


31.6

%














GAAP ratio:













  GAAP combined ratio


136.6

%


124.2

%


179.2

%


74.7

%

  Contribution from catastrophe losses


39.8



29.7



73.4



4.4


  Prior accident years before catastrophe losses


(13.0)



(14.8)



(5.2)



(41.9)


  GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior













      years reserve development


109.8

%


109.3

%


111.0

%


112.2

%

















Six months ended June 30, 2011



Consolidated

Commercial

Personal

E&S

Premiums:













  Written premiums

$

1,547


$

1,125


$

383


$

39


  Unearned premiums change


(72)



(52)



(13)



(7)


  Earned premiums

$

1,475


$

1,073


$

370


$

32















Statutory ratio:













  Statutory combined ratio


119.2

%


112.5

%


140.2

%


100.1

%

  Contribution from catastrophe losses


22.5



17.2



39.4



3.6


  Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses


96.7

%


95.3

%


100.8

%


96.5

%














  Commission expense ratio


18.3

%


18.1

%


18.3

%


23.5

%

  Other expense ratio


13.5



14.5



11.2



6.3


  Statutory expense ratio


31.8

%


32.6

%


29.5

%


29.8

%














GAAP ratio:













  GAAP combined ratio


120.1

%


114.0

%


139.2

%


102.1

%

  Contribution from catastrophe losses


22.5



17.2



39.4



3.6


  Prior accident years before catastrophe losses


(10.3)



(12.5)



(3.1)



(21.6)


  GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior













      years reserve development


107.9

%


109.3

%


102.9

%


120.1

%


Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.  



SOURCE Cincinnati Financial Corporation

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